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Estimating time series models by state space methods in Python: StatsmodelsΒΆ

  • Abstract
  • Introduction
  • State space models
    • Kalman Filter
    • Initialization
    • State and disturbance smoothers
    • Simulation smoother
    • Practical considerations
    • Additional remarks
    • Example models
    • Parameter estimation
  • Representation in Python
    • Object oriented programming
    • Representation
    • Additional remarks
    • Practical considerations
    • Example models
  • Maximum Likelihood Estimation
    • Direct approach
    • Integration with Statsmodels
    • Example models
  • Posterior Simulation
    • Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms
    • Implementing Metropolis-Hastings: the local level model
    • Implementing Gibbs sampling: the ARMA(1,1) model
    • Implementing Gibbs sampling: real business cycle model
  • Out-of-the-box models
    • SARIMAX
    • Unobserved components
    • VAR
    • Dynamic factors
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Appendix A: Installation
    • Dependencies
  • Appendix B: Inherited attributes and methods
    • sm.tsa.statespace.MLEModel
    • sm.tsa.statespace.MLEResults
    • SimulationSmoothResults
  • Appendix C: Real business cycle model code

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